Fact Check: Did ‘Wir Schaffen Das’ Lead to Uncontrolled Mass Migration? (2016)

From: Constant: 8 x la guerre (1951)
From: Constant: 8 x la guerre (1951)

It is widely assumed that the German ‘decision to suspend Dublin and open the borders,’ epitomized by Angela Merkel’s ‘Wir schaffen das’, led to ‘uncontrolled mass migration’ in the summer and fall of 2015. This belief is not only held by media and politicians, but also by prominent academics like Ruud Koopmans. The empirical claim contained in this belief has two elements: one relating to the ‘suspension of Dublin’, and one relating to the ‘opening of the borders.’ Are these claims correct?

Read my blogpost on Border Criminologies.

Fact Check: Did the EU-Turkey Deal Bring Down the Number of Migrants and of Border Deaths? (2016)

From: Constant: 8 x la guerre (1951)
From: Constant: 8 x la guerre (1951)

On March 18th, 2016, the EU and Turkey agreed that all irregular migrants arriving on the Greek islands were to be returned to Turkey. It is generally believed that this agreement has led to a dramatic decrease of the number of irregular migrants, and hence of the number of border deaths. Exemplifying this idea is this quote from the second progress report of the European Commission on the implementation of the EU-Turkey Agreement: ‘The sharp decrease in the number of irregular migrants and asylum seekers crossing from Turkey to Greece is proof of the Statement’s effectiveness – and in particular, that the business model of smugglers can be broken. The clear message to migrants is that getting on a boat in Turkey, and endangering lives in the process, is not worth the risk given that there is a legal and safe pathway through resettlement.’ Are these claims correct?

See my blogpost on Border Criminologies

Minimalist Reflections on Europe, Refugees and Law (2016)

It is hard to understand the current developments in European refugee law without the benefit of hindsight. This paper refrains from trying to make a comprehensive analysis, and investigates fragments small enough to allow for analysis. We will look at the political and legal processes which turned the influx of a small number of people into the European Union into a crisis; at tunnel vision of European policy makers; at the legal aspects of the EU’s and NATO’s intervention in the Aegean Sea; and at the processes resulting in the acceptance of mass deaths as a daily routine.

Minimalist Reflections on Europe, Refugees and Law, European Papers 2016, p. 533-558

Uit de kast, maar ook uit de brand? Lesbische, homoseksuele, biseksuele en transgender asielzoekers in Nederland (2016)

In de afgelopen jaren is de positie van LHBT vluchtelingen verbeterd, omdat een aantal kwestieuze praktijken om hun asielverzoeken af te wijzen is afgeschaft. Toch blijft er spanning bestaan tussen de restrictieve manier waarop mensenrechten worden geïnterpreteerd in de context van asiel, en de ruimere interpretatie daarbuiten. Zo beslissen ambtenaren over de gender- en seksuele identiteit van asielzoekers, en wordt strafbaarstelling van homoseksuele handelingen in het land van herkomst niet als vervolging in de zin van de vluchtelingendefinitie aangemerkt.

Uit de kast, maar ook uit de brand? Lesbische, homoseksuele, biseksuele en transgender asielzoekers in Nederland , Ars Aequi 2016, p. 668-672

Dwang, verbod en grootse verwachtingen: over het falende Europese asielbeleid (met Maarten den Heijer en Jorrit Rijpma, 2016)

April liet een spectaculaire daling zien van het aantal Syriërs dat in Nederland asiel vroeg: 101 tegen meer dan 5000 in oktober vorig jaar. Het lijkt erop dat de dichte grenzen in de Balkanlanden en het akkoord met Turkije over de terugname van asielzoekers de komst van Syrische vluchtelingen sterk hebben afgeremd. Is de vluchtelingen‘crisis’ opgelost? Allerminst: de deal met Turkije is kwetsbaar en bovendien juridisch kwestieus. Belangrijker is dat het Europese asielbeleid heeft aangetoond slecht te functioneren. Het is nu vooral zaak de gemeenschappelijke asielregels crisisbestendig te maken. Daarvoor lijkt echter de politieke steun te ontbreken.

Maarten den Heijer, Jorrit Rijpma en Thomas Spijkerboer: Dwang, verbod en grootse verwachtingen: over het falende Europese asielbeleid, Nederlands Juristenblad 2016, p. 1672-1682

The Crisis of European Refugee Law : Lessons from Lake Success (2016, with Hemme Battjes, Evelien Bouwer, Lieneke Slingenberg)

In this paper, we address three connected central issues in refugee law. Firstly, who is entitled to protection? Secondly, what should that protection entail – merely allowing the presence of refugees in the territory, or allowing access to the labour market and health and welfare systems? Thirdly, where should refugees receive protection – in the first country in which they arrive after fleeing their home country, or elsewhere? We analyze the current crisis of European refugee law by looking back at the drafting history of the 1951 Refugee Convention. European policy makers can learn from the way in which the drafters partially solved these issues in 1950/1951.

Hemme Battjes, Evelien Brouwer, Lieneke Slingenberg and Thomas Spijkerboer: The Crisis of European Refugee Law: Lessons from Lake Success

Deaths at the Borders: Evidence from the Southern External Borders of the EU (2016, with Tamara Last and Orcun Ulusoy)

This paper contains a brief introduction to the Deaths at the Border Database, including methodology, prelimiary outcomes and preliminary policy conclusions.

Deaths at the Borders: Evidence from the Southern External Borders of the EU, published in
HIJRA – La Revue Marocaine de Droit d’Asile et Migration 2016, no. 1
English version: p. 5-23
Arabic version: p. 24-36

Advocating human rights as gorilla behaviour (2016)

media_xll_1212576Human rights are increasingly considered to be crucial for the legitimacy of European institutions. Since 1983, the Dutch Constitution opens with a chapter on fundamental rights, in the first place equality and non-discrimination. The 1998 Human Rights Act in the United Kingdom is another case in point. The European Union proclaimed its Charter on Fundamental Rights in 2000, and made it into binding law in 2009. These are formal phenomena, but they have effects in everyday life. People who want to make a point about Islam will easily refer to equal rights of women and LGBT people, which they are purported to lack and we are said to have. This happens in politics, at parties and in the pub.

Therefore, it is remarkable that human rights are being relativized more and more frequently as well. The Dutch prime minister, Mark Rutte, last Friday had to explain why he had not publicly raised the issue of freedom of expression when a Dutch-Turkish journalist had been arrested in Turkey after critical tweets about Erdogan. He defended himself by stating that behaving like a gorilla is not going to get us anywhere. This kind of statement is not an isolated thing. Over the past few weeks, human rights organizations Amnesty International, Human Rights Watch and the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights have published well researched reports about serious violations of the rights of Syrian refugees – from systematic refoulement to shooting them, including women and children. Prime minister Rutte and Dutch foreign secretary Koenders have systematically referred to these reports as “rumours”. They have made enquiries with the Turkish authorities, who have assured them that there is nothing whatsoever to worry about. There is “no reason at all to point a reproaching finger at Turkey.”

It might be objected that these statements are a bit awkward, but are related only to the refugee deal between Turkey and the EU. Because the Netherlands is President of the EU Council these months and the deal is very important, human rights have to be toned down. But this ignores that this is merely an escalation of a more long term process. Two years ago, Geert Wilders promised to make sure that there would be less Moroccans in the Netherlands. He now leads the polls, and faces criminal prosecution in court. When the Dutch legislation on family reunion was made stricter, there was wide support in Parliament for proposals which explicitly aim at reducing family reunion for people with a Turkish and Moroccan background. Why does Wilders face prosecution for something the Dutch legislator actually makes happen?

Human rights, like law in general, are always multi-interpretable. You can take them in different directions. The question, however, is whether they can be taken in different directions at the same time. That is what politicians of all shades are trying to do now, by turning up the volume on both points. They say ever more loudly how important human rights are. And they emphasize more and more that human rights are overdone – with the gorilla metaphor as a high point until now. The dissonance is increasing, and just as in music it will have to be resolved at one moment. Either Europe joins the likes of Putin and Erdogan, who find human rights silly nonsense. Or they join the ranks of people like Max van der Stoel, a former Dutch labour Party politician who, without ever raising his voice, unflinchingly advocated human rights.

Dutch version in NRC-Handelsblad 3 May 2016